CPS DATA SHOWS 1M DROP IN UNAUTHORIZED IMMIGRANTS AS TRUMP ENFORCEMENT TIGHTENS: CIS ANALYSIS

CIS’s Steven Camarota argues CPS data indicate roughly 1 million fewer unauthorized residents between January and May 2025, coinciding with stepped‑up Trump administration enforcement. The analysis uses the CPS residual method and attributes most of the decline to increased emigration (self‑deportation) rather than removals, while acknowledging caveats about CPS undercount and nonresponse. The piece contrasts the 2021–2024 surge in the foreign‑born with the early‑2025 decline and contends sustained enforcement can drive further reductions.