ICE, CBP CRACKDOWN DRIVES NET MIGRATION TOWARD NEGATIVE — U.S. POPULATION DECLINE LOOMS IN 2025

Analysts warn the U.S. could see its first population decline as falling births combine with reduced net migration under tougher immigration enforcement. AEI projects 2025 net migration between +115,000 and −525,000, while Pew reports the foreign-born population fell by roughly 1.4 million in the first half of 2025. Heightened deportations, tighter asylum and visa rules, and TPS rollbacks are cited as drivers. Economists say a shrinking working-age base risks labor shortages, pressure on social programs, and slower growth.